A recent Infotrak poll has revealed shifting political winds in Western Kenya, showing strong support for ODM, UDA, and DCP, while other parties struggle to make an impact.
The survey sampled 602 respondents across Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, and Trans Nzoia counties, offering a glimpse into voter preferences as the 2027 General Election draws closer.
Thursday’s findings show the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) leading the pack with 25 per cent overall support in the region, with the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) close behind at 20 per cent.
The Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) trails at 7 per cent. Ford Kenya and DAP-K have struggled to gain significant ground, recording only 4 per cent and 2 per cent support respectively.
Other smaller parties, including Wiper, Jubilee, PNU, United Green Movement, Maendeleo Chap Chap, Restore and Build Kenya Party, MDG, and Peoples’ Democracy Party, each received 1 per cent support, with the remaining parties collectively managing 5 per cent.
County-level results paint a diverse political picture. In Kakamega, ODM dominates with 29 per cent, while UDA trails at 13 per cent and DCP at 8 per cent. Ford Kenya and DAP-K lag behind at 3 per cent and 1 per cent.
Vihiga shows a tight contest, with ODM at 25 per cent and UDA breathing down its neck at 24 per cent. Ford Kenya manages 4 per cent while DAP-K sits at 1 per cent.
Bungoma tells a different story, with UDA leading at 27 per cent, ahead of ODM’s 18 per cent and DCP’s 5 per cent. Ford Kenya claims 7 per cent while DAP-K remains at 1 per cent.
In Busia, ODM leads with 27 per cent, UDA follows at 17 per cent, and DCP takes 11 per cent, while Ford Kenya and DAP-K record 2 per cent and 3 per cent respectively. Trans Nzoia shows ODM at 26 per cent, UDA at 21 per cent, DCP at 5 per cent, Ford Kenya at 3 per cent, and DAP-K at 2 per cent.
Infotrak conducted the survey through Computer Assisted Telephonic Interviews (CATI), reaching out to registered voters aged 18 and above.
The poll recorded a 100 per cent response rate and carries a margin of error of ±4 per cent at a 95 per cent confidence level. Researchers analyzed the data using SPSS 27 to guarantee accuracy.
The findings point to an increasingly competitive political landscape in Western Kenya, with voter loyalties evolving ahead of the 2027 General Election and the region’s traditional power structures facing potential upheaval.
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